Dow Jones Index

As Hamas militants launch deadly attacks on Israeli civilians、Russia invades Ukraine、Iran and North Korea pose nuclear threat，The world is witnessing a surge in violence and instability。Such conflicts and confrontations are not only detrimental to peace and security，and has a global impact on the economy and global stock markets。For example，In fiscal year 2022，The U.S. spent about $8 trillion on post-9/11 wars，A large proportion of GDP，and contribute to economic growth in certain sectors。1 But how does war affect the economy and stock markets more broadly? Security experts are weighing in，Only time will tell，But experts remind us，in the long run，Past wars haven't depressed U.S. stocks。How will the market react this time? Key Points Although war and defense spending may account for a significant portion of U.S. gross domestic product，But wars tend to have little lasting impact on domestic stock markets or economic growth。 Markets have largely ignored recent conflicts related to the Middle East and Iran。 However，A wider regional war could have more serious repercussions，Especially the impact on oil and other commodity prices。 despite this，Within days or weeks after an armed conflict or confrontation begins，Stock markets tend to quickly return to pre-invasion levels。 Markets often shrug it off War often brings a degree of uncertainty，And markets usually don’t like that kind of uncertainty。The outbreak or expectation of war could cause a sharp sell-off in stocks。at the same time，Investors may turn to traditionally safer assets，like gold、Bonds or currencies considered safe havens。Despite the initial negative reaction，but as time goes by，Stock markets show resilience。in fact，As the situation stabilizes or the scope of the conflict becomes clearer，they tend to recover quickly。 LPL Financial research states，Stock markets have largely shrugged off past geopolitical conflicts。John Lynch, former chief investment strategist at LPL Financial (John Lynch) talking about 2020 Year 1 U.S. airstrike kills Iranians，"Although this escalation is serious，But past experience shows，It is likely unlikely to have a significant impact on U.S. economic fundamentals or corporate profits."。General Qasem Soleimani。“Given that equity markets have experienced heightened geopolitical tensions in the past，We won't be the sellers of stocks that fall into weakness due to this event。”23 “From 1939 World War II begins 1945 End at the end of the year，The Dow rose in total 50%，Rising more than every year 7%。therefore，In two of the worst wars in modern history，Ben Carlson, director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth Management in the U.S. stock market, writes in an article about the counterintuitive market results："The total has increased 115%。“The relationship between geopolitical crises and market outcomes is not as simple as it seems.。” 4 Sources：LPL Finance。 From Russia's invasion of Ukraine to S&P one month later 500 Another example of index prices is Russia’s 2022 Year…