怎么使用使用相对强弱指数RSI分析股票

More than nine years since the trough of the Great Recession，U.S. stocks are doing pretty well。during that time，122The 20-year-old Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 more than quadrupled from their lows，The Nasdaq Composite Index has more than quintupled from its lows.。If you started investing in diversified high-growth stocks in March 2009 and stuck with it，you may be doing well。 But that's not to say the stock market hasn't had its fair share of hiccups during this time.。It almost fell into a bear market in 2011，has undergone some corrections over the past few years. – Down at least 10% from recent highs。 The problem is，as an investor，We know the economy is contracting，Recessions and bear markets are inevitable。This is not a problem，if they will happen，so often。While no investor can consistently accurately predict when a bear market will decline，How big is the drop?，It could even lead to a market decline eventually，But there are some signs that we are entering an increasingly negative environment。in other words，It may be time to become a stock market bear。 Here are 10 reasons why being bearish on stocks is the right move right now。 1. Trade war adversely affects manufacturing companies, first，Regarding the escalating trade friction between China and the United States，There is no easy solution。Trump insists tariffs on Chinese goods will force American public to buy American products。However，We've seen a slew of manufacturing companies warn that，Higher prices for aluminum and steel will increase their material costs。Home appliance giant Whirlpool is forced to reduce its full-year profit forecast，and pass along price increases to consumers as a result of ongoing trade issues。 2. We may be witnessing peak employment. Sometimes there can be too much of a good thing。If we look back at the U.S. unemployment rate，We are currently at approximately 49-year lows。over the past fifty years，due to various reasons，Unemployment has rarely spent below 4%。This suggests we may be approaching a point where unemployment will reverse and start moving higher。It's unclear how the market will react to such an event，But I doubt it will be good。 There are more job openings than unemployed workers looking for jobs，Giving workers more in wages than they have seen in the long term。This creates the strongest wage growth we have seen in a decade。However，this is not good news，You will see in the next point。 3. Interest rates are rising. Based on the previous point.，Fed has no choice when it comes to raising rates，Only "hold the gas pedal"。U.S. second-quarter GDP growth reaches highest level since 2014。and，as pointed out，Workers are experiencing the fastest wage growth in a decade。if not controlled，This could lead to an economy with runaway inflation levels。in short，You can expect interest rates to continue to rise，This should curb corporate lending。 4. The housing market is sending dire signals, what's next，We're really starting to see a serious downturn in the Southern California real estate market。According to data from CoreLogic，2018The number of new and existing home and apartment sales in the region fell 18% in September compared with last year。This is the slowest September for Southern California home sales in 11 years，That's when the housing crisis began。 What needs to be clear is，This in no way indicates a housing crisis is coming。But house prices continue to fall steadily，Probably the most high-profile market in the country，Coupled with rising house prices in the area，This means the supply glut could soon be affected。if this happens，It will bring bad news to the financial sector of the market。 5.Flattening of the Yield Curve Another cause for concern is the flattening of the yield curve。We're talking about the yield difference between short-term and long-term U.S. Treasury bonds。in a perfect world，Bonds with longer maturities will have higher yields than bonds with shorter maturities。A flattening yield curve describes an event in which the gap between long-term and short-term interest rates narrows。it may sometimes reverse，This event almost always precedes the modern recession。 What does this mean for investors? Simple：When the yield curve has a large gap between short-term and long-term yields，it will encourage banks to lend，Because long term interest rate loans and short term interest rate borrowings are very profitable。When this gap narrows，Banks will not be tricked into lending，This could slow economic growth。 6. Midterm Elections While the stock market reacted positively after last week’s midterm elections，But I don't believe investors are looking at the big picture。Putting aside the fact that the market has historically performed better，With a Republican White House and a divided Congress in the midterms，A divided Congress all but eliminates any chance of further economic stimulus。Democratic House unlikely to pass Trump's further tax cuts，And health care reform is barely on the table。essentially，It depends on the stimulus measures in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act，so that all the heavy lifting can be done in a short period of time，Frankly speaking，it takes a lot。 7.Credit card default rates have been rising, even though we are a nation of consumers – Approximately 70% of U.S. GDP is based on consumption – But here's the thing (if you've heard this before)，please stop me) you will get too much benefit。 According to a report by credit reporting agency TransUnion，in recent years，We witnessed the average debt per cardholder and the number of outstanding credit cards。most noteworthy is，The percentage of accounts that are 90 days or more past due increased from 1.48% in 2014 to 1.87% in 2017。As variable rate credit card rates rise，It may become increasingly difficult for consumers to meet their payment obligations。 8. FANG stocks proven wrong, untouchable by pessimists years later，Investors are also showing signs of weakness in square stocks - here's Facebook's，Amazon.com，Netflix and Google，This is part of the alphabet now。Amazon's cautious holiday sales forecast and Facebook's recent safety and growth concerns have Wall Street worried about a group of stocks，It's been years since anyone here has blinked an eye。 9. The company is acting cautiously, albeit subtly.，But it can be easily said，The way companies are putting money to work suggests there are problems ahead。…